Q. Europa League Ronda previa. Final
Global 3-4
Grevenmacher vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
HJK
4 - 1
GRE
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
HKS
2 - 0
GRE
91%
7%
2%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
GRE
1 - 4
HKS
18%
21%
62%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1996 |
GRE
2 - 2
DTB
14%
19%
68%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
DTB
4 - 0
GRE
93%
5%
2%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
HJK
3 - 0
VAA
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
HJK
1 - 0
HAK
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
HJK
4 - 1
GRE
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2000 |
FCL
1 - 0
HJK
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
HJK
4 - 1
KOO
76%
16%
7%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |