Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
KOL
0 - 2
SGF
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SGF
3 - 0
PAD
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
KAI
3 - 0
SGF
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
SGF
2 - 0
CZJ
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
OFC
1 - 2
SGF
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2007 |
ROT
0 - 0
ROS
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ROT
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ROT
1 - 1
UNT
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
TUS
0 - 1
ROT
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ROT
0 - 2
MUN
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |