Greuther Fürth vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 1
SGF
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SGF
1 - 2
ARB
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SGF
5 - 1
ERZ
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
COT
4 - 2
SGF
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SGF
3 - 1
M05
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
LUB
2 - 2
ERZ
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
COT
1 - 1
LUB
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
LUB
1 - 4
M05
34%
26%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
WAC
2 - 1
LUB
34%
26%
41%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
LUB
2 - 2
KSC
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |