Greuther Fürth vs Energie Cottbus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGF
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SGF
3 - 0
KSC
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SGF
0 - 1
BVB
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 4
SGF
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
SGF
1 - 0
AAA
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Energie Cottbus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
FSV
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
STP
0 - 0
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
F95
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
EBT
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 0
COT
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |