Greuther Fürth II vs VfR Garching analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
VIK
0 - 2
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
4 - 1
SCH
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
HEI
1 - 3
GRE
42%
22%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCH
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
BAY
2 - 3
GRE
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
VRG
1 - 5
AUB
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
EIC
5 - 0
VRG
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
VRG
2 - 0
TAM
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 3
VRG
50%
23%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
VRG
1 - 3
NUR
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |