Regionalliga Bavaria Round 11

Greuther Fürth II vs Heimstetten analysis

Greuther Fürth II Heimstetten
40 ELO 38
-3.3% Tilt -0.6%
2148º General ELO ranking 4847º
91º Country ELO ranking 230º
ELO win probability
41.8%
Greuther Fürth II
22.5%
Draw
35.7%
Heimstetten

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth II
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
35.7%
Win probability
Heimstetten
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Greuther Fürth II
+12%
+11%
Heimstetten

ELO progression

Greuther Fürth II
Heimstetten
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greuther Fürth II
Greuther Fürth II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2018
MEM
Memmingen
3 - 1
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
61%
21%
18%
41 46 5 0
01 Sep. 2018
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
0 - 1
Rosenheim
ROS
62%
20%
18%
41 37 4 0
25 Aug. 2018
BUC
Buchbach
3 - 1
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
49%
24%
27%
43 44 1 -2
18 Aug. 2018
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
0 - 2
FC Augsburg II
AUG
36%
25%
39%
45 49 4 -2
10 Aug. 2018
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0 - 1
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
52%
22%
26%
44 43 1 +1

Matches

Heimstetten
Heimstetten
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2018
HEI
Heimstetten
1 - 1
Schweinfurt
SCH
16%
20%
64%
40 53 13 0
01 Sep. 2018
NUR
Nürnberg II
3 - 0
Heimstetten
HEI
66%
18%
16%
41 49 8 -1
24 Aug. 2018
MEM
Memmingen
2 - 2
Heimstetten
HEI
57%
21%
22%
41 48 7 0
17 Aug. 2018
HEI
Heimstetten
1 - 0
Rosenheim
ROS
63%
19%
18%
41 37 4 0
10 Aug. 2018
BUC
Buchbach
2 - 5
Heimstetten
HEI
55%
22%
23%
39 45 6 +2