Regionalliga Bayern Round 22

Greuther Fürth II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis

Greuther Fürth II Bayreuth SpVgg
40 ELO 44
3.6% Tilt 0%
2396º General ELO ranking 2715º
101º Country ELO ranking 116º
ELO win probability
34.4%
Greuther Fürth II
24%
Draw
41.6%
Bayreuth SpVgg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth II
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41.6%
Win probability
Bayreuth SpVgg
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Greuther Fürth II
+11%
-18%
Bayreuth SpVgg

ELO progression

Greuther Fürth II
Bayreuth SpVgg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greuther Fürth II
Greuther Fürth II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2017
HOF
Hoffenheim II
1 - 0
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
75%
16%
9%
40 55 15 0
27 Nov. 2016
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
2 - 0
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
44%
25%
31%
41 41 0 -1
19 Nov. 2016
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
0 - 3
Unterhaching
UNT
14%
20%
67%
42 61 19 -1
12 Nov. 2016
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
1 - 0
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
22%
24%
55%
41 53 12 +1
05 Nov. 2016
SEL
Seligenporten
3 - 1
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
39%
25%
36%
42 39 3 -1

Matches

Bayreuth SpVgg
Bayreuth SpVgg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2016
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
0 - 2
Memmingen
MEM
37%
25%
38%
45 48 3 0
19 Nov. 2016
VRG
VfR Garching
1 - 2
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
47%
23%
30%
44 45 1 +1
12 Nov. 2016
186
1860 München II
1 - 1
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
51%
24%
25%
44 49 5 0
05 Nov. 2016
BAY
Bayreuth SpVgg
2 - 0
Bayern Hof
BAY
71%
18%
12%
44 33 11 0
29 Oct. 2016
ING
Ingolstadt 04 II
1 - 0
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
35%
24%
41%
45 41 4 -1