Gretna vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
PET
2 - 0
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 1
QUE
67%
19%
13%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 5
ICT
17%
20%
63%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
MON
0 - 1
GRE
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 1
ELG
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
STR
0 - 1
STI
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
RAI
2 - 0
STR
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ALB
1 - 1
STR
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
STR
2 - 1
QOS
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
STR
1 - 2
AIR
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |