Gretna 2008 vs AFC Edinburgh University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
BON
11%
15%
74%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
BFC
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
CUM
4 - 4
GRE
43%
22%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RFC
9 - 1
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
THE
8%
15%
77%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Edinburgh University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 3
RFC
6%
15%
80%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 3
CBF
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
7 - 0
AFC
93%
6%
1%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
GAL
8%
15%
76%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
DAL
3 - 1
AFC
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |