Gresley vs Stamford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
RUS
3 - 3
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
DEE
2 - 6
GRE
40%
22%
39%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
GRE
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
LEE
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 4
GRE
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Stamford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 1
STA
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
STA
4 - 1
STN
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
STN
1 - 1
STA
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 1
STA
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
SLA
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |