Gresley vs Shaw Lane Aquaforce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
GRE
14%
20%
67%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TIV
0 - 2
GRE
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
COA
5 - 0
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 2
COA
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 2
NEW
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Shaw Lane Aquaforce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
STO
1 - 1
SLA
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SLA
4 - 1
LOU
80%
13%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SLA
3 - 3
DAV
81%
13%
7%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ALS
2 - 1
SLA
16%
19%
65%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 2
SLA
27%
21%
52%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |