Gresley vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
RAI
0 - 1
GRE
10%
17%
74%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BRI
0 - 7
GRE
7%
15%
78%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
GRE
4 - 0
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 0
GRE
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 6
MIC
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ROM
3 - 2
STO
70%
18%
13%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ROM
1 - 2
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 1
ROM
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ROM
1 - 2
RAI
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
ROM
1 - 2
SUT
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |