Gresley vs Quorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 2
GRE
37%
26%
38%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 1
WIL
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
RET
0 - 1
GRE
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
RUS
3 - 1
GRE
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 5
SHE
29%
24%
48%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
QUO
4 - 1
STA
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
QUO
1 - 3
LOU
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
SHE
3 - 1
QUO
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
SHE
2 - 0
QUO
37%
25%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
QUO
2 - 2
LEE
32%
24%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |