Gresley vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GOO
0 - 2
GRE
17%
21%
63%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
RUG
2 - 1
GRE
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
BAS
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
LEE
1 - 0
GRE
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RFC
1 - 0
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 3
DAV
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 0
TIV
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 3
NEW
37%
24%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 3
CRE
17%
22%
60%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 3
SUT
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |