Gresley vs Kidsgrove Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAR
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 2
GRE
77%
16%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 1
SHE
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 4
RET
13%
20%
66%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GOO
3 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kidsgrove Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
KID
0 - 1
BEL
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GOO
0 - 1
KID
60%
20%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SHE
1 - 0
KID
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
KID
2 - 0
LIN
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +3 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GLA
3 - 0
KID
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |