Gresley vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 2
STO
20%
23%
57%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 2
LIN
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 4
GRE
71%
18%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GRE
5 - 0
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GOO
1 - 2
SPA
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CAR
4 - 2
GOO
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
GOO
5 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GOO
2 - 1
LOU
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
STO
3 - 1
GOO
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |