Gresley vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
RET
2 - 0
GRE
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 3
SHE
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -3 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GOO
1 - 1
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 1
GRE
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
GRE
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
GOO
3 - 1
ALS
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 1
GOO
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GOO
1 - 1
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
GOO
2 - 1
WAR
73%
16%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 3
GOO
14%
23%
63%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |