Gresley vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
3 - 1
BEL
52%
23%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
KID
0 - 1
GRE
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 5
WOS
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
CHO
2 - 2
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GRE
3 - 1
BIS
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
GOO
0 - 3
EAS
27%
24%
48%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
GOO
1 - 0
BEL
28%
24%
47%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
GOO
0 - 0
MOS
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
CLI
1 - 0
GOO
65%
20%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
GOO
1 - 4
WOS
24%
23%
53%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |