Gresley vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 2
GRE
77%
16%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 1
SHE
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 4
RET
13%
20%
66%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GOO
3 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 3
RUS
19%
25%
56%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 2
CAR
32%
24%
43%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
SHE
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 2
WIL
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RUS
0 - 1
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
LIN
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |