Gresford Athletic vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 3
GRE
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
AIR
12%
18%
70%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
BAN
19%
21%
61%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
PRE
1 - 2
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
GRE
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 2
GUI
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 0
HOL
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 1
BUC
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 0
LLA
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
AIR
1 - 1
GUI
57%
20%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |