FAW Championship Gales North Round 11

Gresford Athletic vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis

Gresford Athletic Cefn Druids AFC
39 ELO 39
-7.1% Tilt -1.5%
5934º General ELO ranking 22022º
42º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
36.3%
Gresford Athletic
22.8%
Draw
40.9%
Cefn Druids AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
Gresford Athletic
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.9%
Win probability
Cefn Druids AFC
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Gresford Athletic
Their league position
Cefn Druids AFC
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
16º
43
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Colwyn Bay
82
85
100%
Holywell
77
77
100%
Llandudno FC
65
65
100%
Guilsfield FC
54
57
100%
Ruthin Town
48
51
100%
Prestatyn Town
43
46
50%
Cefn Druids AFC
43
43
50%
Buckley Town
42
42
100%
Gresford Athletic
10º
32
35
0%
Mold Alexandra
35
35
10º
0%
Porthmadog
11º
30
31
11º
49%
Llanidloes Town FC
12º
27
28
12º
63.5%
Chirk AAA
13º
26
26
13º
100%
Conwy Borough FC
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Holyhead Hotspur
15º
16
16
15º
68%
Penrhyncoch FC
16º
16
16
16º
68%
Expected probabilities
Gresford Athletic
Cefn Druids AFC
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gresford Athletic
Cefn Druids AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gresford Athletic
Gresford Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2022
BAL
Bala Town
4 - 0
Gresford Athletic
GRE
93%
6%
1%
38 67 29 0
15 Oct. 2022
GRE
Gresford Athletic
1 - 4
Llandudno FC
LLA
27%
25%
48%
40 47 7 -2
08 Oct. 2022
LLU
Llanrug United
0 - 3
Gresford Athletic
GRE
9%
14%
77%
40 11 29 0
01 Oct. 2022
GRE
Gresford Athletic
0 - 1
Conwy Borough FC
CON
66%
19%
15%
41 30 11 -1
24 Sep. 2022
GRE
Gresford Athletic
1 - 2
Holywell
HOL
24%
24%
52%
42 49 7 -1

Matches

Cefn Druids AFC
Cefn Druids AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
3 - 1
Buckley Town
BUC
61%
19%
20%
38 38 0 0
08 Oct. 2022
GFC
Glantraeth FC
0 - 5
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
71%
17%
13%
36 50 14 +2
01 Oct. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
3 - 2
Llanidloes Town FC
LLA
59%
19%
22%
36 34 2 0
24 Sep. 2022
GUI
Guilsfield FC
0 - 1
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
66%
20%
14%
35 46 11 +1
06 Sep. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
1 - 7
Colwyn Bay
COL
20%
22%
58%
37 50 13 -2