Liga Brasileña Sub 17 Group B Round 9

Grêmio U17 vs Bahia U17 analysis

Grêmio U17 Bahia U17
44 ELO 29
2.2% Tilt 6.5%
6499º General ELO ranking 8597º
253º Country ELO ranking 358º
ELO win probability
76.2%
Grêmio U17
13.8%
Draw
10%
Bahia U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
Grêmio U17
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10%
Win probability
Bahia U17
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grêmio U17
+1%
-35%
Bahia U17

ELO progression

Grêmio U17
Bahia U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grêmio U17
Grêmio U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2023
ATL
Atlético GO U17
2 - 1
Grêmio U17
GRE
16%
17%
67%
44 29 15 0
16 Aug. 2023
GRE
Grêmio U17
1 - 3
Goiás U17
GOI
68%
18%
13%
45 34 11 -1
09 Aug. 2023
ATH
Athletico PR U17
4 - 1
Grêmio U17
GRE
57%
21%
22%
46 49 3 -1
02 Aug. 2023
GRE
Grêmio U17
3 - 1
Fortaleza U17
FOR
85%
10%
5%
46 25 21 0
26 Jul. 2023
PAL
Palmeiras U17
4 - 3
Grêmio U17
GRE
76%
15%
9%
46 57 11 0

Matches

Bahia U17
Bahia U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2023
BAH
Bahia U17
3 - 4
Palmeiras U17
PAL
10%
16%
75%
30 57 27 0
23 Aug. 2023
BAH
Bahia U17
1 - 1
Atlético GO U17
ATL
51%
21%
29%
30 29 1 0
17 Aug. 2023
FOR
Fortaleza U17
2 - 1
Bahia U17
BAH
29%
22%
50%
31 25 6 -1
02 Aug. 2023
SAN
Santos U17
3 - 1
Bahia U17
BAH
71%
16%
14%
31 40 9 0
26 Jul. 2023
BAH
Bahia U17
1 - 2
Cruzeiro U17
CRU
33%
21%
46%
33 37 4 -2