Grêmio Sãocarlense vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 0
GDS
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GDS
3 - 0
MOG
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
GDS
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GDS
2 - 0
SAO
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 1
GDS
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
JAB
47%
25%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
TAN
2 - 0
FER
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
VOC
3 - 0
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
PEN
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |