Grêmio vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1997 |
JUV
0 - 1
GRE
35%
24%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
SAN
3 - 0
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAR
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1997 |
POR
3 - 0
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1997 |
GRE
1 - 1
UNI
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
SPO
1 - 0
FLA
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1997 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAN
34%
28%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
VIT
3 - 1
SPO
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 1997 |
SPO
3 - 1
ATP
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1997 |
COT
2 - 0
SPO
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |