Grêmio vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
COT
4 - 0
GRE
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATM
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 1
GRE
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 1
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAO
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
BOT
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 2
PAL
41%
26%
34%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 2
PPE
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 1
PAL
33%
27%
41%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |