Grêmio vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
GRE
4 - 3
AVA
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
GAM
2 - 1
GRE
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
FLU
3 - 0
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 1
VIL
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CAX
3 - 2
GRE
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
PAY
1 - 2
FLU
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
FLU
3 - 0
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
VOL
1 - 3
FLU
18%
22%
61%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
FLU
3 - 4
VOL
82%
13%
6%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |