Grêmio vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
COT
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
SPO
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 2
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 0
COR
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 2
BAH
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
BAH
2 - 2
COT
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
FLU
4 - 0
BAH
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |