Grêmio vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
GRE
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCI
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 1
GOI
74%
18%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
GRE
5 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 0
PRO
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 1
CCP
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 2
ATE
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |