Grêmio vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SCI
2 - 0
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRE
41%
27%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 3
COT
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
FFL
0 - 1
GRE
28%
28%
44%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 0
GOI
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 0
CRZ
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
CRI
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 3
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 0
CRI
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
CRI
3 - 2
FLU
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |