Grêmio vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
71%
19%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ATM
0 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 2
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
3 - 4
SPO
75%
17%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
BOT
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BAH
1 - 0
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
AMF
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
CRZ
3 - 0
CHA
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |