Grêmio vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
19.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
20.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
27.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 1
GRE
19%
27%
55%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOV
74%
19%
7%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ECS
1 - 1
GRE
12%
24%
64%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 2
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAO
79%
17%
4%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 1
LUC
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
3 - 2
MIR
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 0
CAM
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 2
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
CAM
71%
20%
9%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |