Paulista A3 Round 13

Grêmio Osasco vs Marília analysis

Grêmio Osasco Marília
49 ELO 45
-6.2% Tilt 2.2%
23062º General ELO ranking 4159º
656º Country ELO ranking 136º
ELO win probability
51.9%
Grêmio Osasco
25%
Draw
23.1%
Marília

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
Grêmio Osasco
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.1%
Win probability
Marília
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Grêmio Osasco
Marília
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grêmio Osasco
Grêmio Osasco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2017
TAB
Taboão da Serra
2 - 1
Grêmio Osasco
GRE
27%
24%
49%
49 39 10 0
15 Mar. 2017
GRE
Grêmio Osasco
4 - 0
Flamengo SP
FLA
51%
25%
24%
48 45 3 +1
12 Mar. 2017
GRE
Grêmio Osasco
3 - 1
Catanduvense
CAT
52%
25%
23%
47 44 3 +1
09 Mar. 2017
OLI
Olímpia FC
3 - 1
Grêmio Osasco
GRE
44%
25%
30%
48 49 1 -1
05 Mar. 2017
GRE
Grêmio Osasco
0 - 1
Matonense
MAT
54%
24%
22%
49 45 4 -1

Matches

Marília
Marília
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2017
NAC
Nacional SP
1 - 0
Marília
MAR
66%
20%
14%
46 54 8 0
16 Mar. 2017
MAR
Marília
0 - 3
Inter de Limeira
INT
39%
25%
36%
48 52 4 -2
11 Mar. 2017
MAR
Marília
1 - 0
Noroeste
NOR
56%
23%
21%
47 45 2 +1
08 Mar. 2017
CAT
Catanduvense
0 - 2
Marília
MAR
47%
25%
28%
46 45 1 +1
04 Mar. 2017
MAR
Marília
2 - 2
Olímpia FC
OLI
40%
25%
35%
46 50 4 0