Grêmio Osasco vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 2
GRE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 1
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
VOT
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
INT
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
INT
0 - 0
GRE
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
ATI
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
FER
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FER
1 - 1
BER
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |