Série D Brazil Final Stages Last 16
Maringá vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
GRE
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
NOV
72%
19%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 4
GRE
18%
26%
56%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
20%
29%
52%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
AGU
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
GRE
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
MIX
77%
16%
6%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
POR
16%
28%
56%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
POR
35%
30%
34%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
REA
70%
20%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |