Grêmio Barueri vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
46.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
GRÊ
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
SAO
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 0
GRÊ
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
GRÊ
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 1
SAO
48%
23%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
RIO
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
RBB
2 - 1
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
MIR
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |