Grêmio Barueri vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
5 - 0
GRÊ
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MIR
2 - 2
GRÊ
21%
21%
58%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
PAL
30%
26%
45%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SER
1 - 1
GRÊ
13%
19%
68%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
ATP
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 1
SAO
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
RIO
90%
8%
2%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
PAU
2 - 1
RIO
59%
22%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 3
BOT
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 2
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |