Série C Brazil Round 14

Grêmio Barueri vs Mogi Mirim analysis

Grêmio Barueri Mogi Mirim
50 ELO 67
-8% Tilt 8.3%
20144º General ELO ranking 20558º
675º Country ELO ranking 676º
ELO win probability
18.2%
Grêmio Barueri
26.1%
Draw
55.7%
Mogi Mirim

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
Grêmio Barueri
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
55.7%
Win probability
Mogi Mirim
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Grêmio Barueri
Mogi Mirim
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grêmio Barueri
Grêmio Barueri
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2013
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
1 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
26%
27%
47%
50 63 13 0
31 Aug. 2013
3 - 3
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
62%
21%
17%
50 59 9 0
24 Aug. 2013
CRA
CRAC
2 - 0
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
49%
25%
26%
51 53 2 -1
18 Aug. 2013
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
2 - 3
Vila Nova
VIL
33%
26%
41%
51 57 6 0
10 Aug. 2013
MAD
Madureira RJ
6 - 0
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
55%
24%
22%
53 58 5 -2

Matches

Mogi Mirim
Mogi Mirim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2013
MOG
Mogi Mirim
2 - 1
Caxias do Sul
CAX
60%
23%
17%
67 62 5 0
01 Sep. 2013
VIL
Vila Nova
1 - 0
Mogi Mirim
MOG
29%
27%
44%
67 58 9 0
25 Aug. 2013
MOG
Mogi Mirim
1 - 1
Guaraní
GUA
57%
24%
20%
67 63 4 0
17 Aug. 2013
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
3 - 1
Mogi Mirim
MOG
23%
27%
50%
69 54 15 -2
10 Aug. 2013
MOG
Mogi Mirim
2 - 0
64%
22%
14%
68 59 9 +1