Grêmio Barueri vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
AUD
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 4
GRÊ
35%
25%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ECN
1 - 1
GRÊ
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
XVD
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 2
GRÊ
17%
21%
62%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 2
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ITU
4 - 2
BRA
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 2
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
PPE
1 - 0
BRA
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
OES
1 - 1
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |