Grêmio Barueri vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 4
SAN
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
PAU
64%
20%
15%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
GRÊ
27%
23%
51%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
SCI
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 1
GRÊ
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
NOR
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 0
BOT
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 1
CEN
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MAD
4 - 3
BOT
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |