Greenville Triumph vs Northern Colorado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
3º
3º
5
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 46 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 38 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 36 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 34 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 33 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 32 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 31 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 23 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 21 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 19 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 17 |
12º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
97% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenville Triumph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
OKS
2 - 3
GTR
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LSC
2 - 3
GTR
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
GTR
0 - 0
FMA
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SCU
0 - 1
GTR
12%
19%
69%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GTR
3 - 1
SPV
77%
16%
8%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
COR
2 - 3
NCO
30%
22%
48%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 0
NCO
18%
23%
60%
|
62 | 16 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
TUL
1 - 4
NCO
17%
19%
65%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LSC
0 - 0
NCO
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
NCO
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |