Greenock Morton vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
AIR
0 - 1
GRE
36%
24%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
AIR
0 - 2
GRE
41%
24%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 0
AIR
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 2
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
STE
1 - 0
DUN
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AIR
2 - 0
STE
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
STE
1 - 2
BRE
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
STE
1 - 2
PET
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
STI
0 - 4
STE
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |