Grebbestad vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
49.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
11º
10º
26
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grebbestad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IKT
3 - 0
GRE
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 5
FBK
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 1
GRE
56%
23%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
GRE
3 - 0
VAN
35%
22%
43%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
LID
2 - 1
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 2
HER
18%
19%
63%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
HER
4 - 0
TFC
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
HER
0 - 0
IKT
62%
19%
19%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 3
HER
8%
14%
79%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
HER
3 - 0
VFK
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |