Grbalj vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
9º
8º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
KOM
0 - 1
GRB
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GRB
0 - 0
MLJ
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ZET
1 - 0
GRB
55%
24%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
GRB
0 - 0
BOK
26%
28%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
IGA
1 - 0
GRB
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
IGA
0 - 0
OUL
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 0
BER
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FKM
1 - 0
OUL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
BOK
1 - 3
OUL
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 0
KOM
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |