Grbalj vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
BER
1 - 3
GRB
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
GRB
2 - 0
SUT
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
KOM
1 - 0
GRB
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
GRB
1 - 0
SUT
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
MLA
2 - 0
GRB
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
DEC
0 - 0
RUD
30%
29%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
ZET
2 - 0
DEC
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
DEC
1 - 3
RUD
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
BER
2 - 0
DEC
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
DEC
1 - 1
JED
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |