Grays Athletic vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
68.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 3
YEL
15%
22%
63%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LEA
1 - 1
GRA
71%
18%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 4
HOR
24%
23%
54%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VCD
4 - 2
GRA
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 3
HAM
14%
21%
66%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
BOG
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 3
LOW
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
HOR
0 - 3
BOG
9%
20%
71%
|
48 | 15 | 33 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 4
OPA
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 1
DUL
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |