Gravia vs Paone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gravia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 0
DOX
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
AGN
2 - 1
GRA
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
GRA
0 - 1
POL
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2007 |
LAM
1 - 1
GRA
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 0
ANA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
PAO
1 - 4
PIE
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
NAF
1 - 0
PAO
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2007 |
PAO
0 - 0
DOX
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2007 |
AGN
1 - 0
PAO
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PAO
2 - 0
POL
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |