GRAP vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GRAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CCA
0 - 1
GRA
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 0
ADP
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MDB
1 - 2
GRA
36%
23%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 1
CUL
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VIE
2 - 2
GRA
37%
23%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
GUI
42%
24%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PAT
0 - 1
PEN
10%
17%
73%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 2
GDA
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALQ
0 - 2
PEN
15%
19%
67%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
PEL
69%
19%
13%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |