GRAP vs Pataiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GRAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 2
GDA
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 0
ALQ
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pataiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
LEM
2 - 0
PAT
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 3
GUI
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |