Grand-Quevilly vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
50.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
13º
13º
37
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grand-Quevilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 0
GRQ
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GRQ
2 - 4
CAE
32%
22%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 2
GRQ
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GRQ
1 - 1
ESA
20%
20%
61%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GRQ
2 - 1
CHA
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ALE
3 - 2
ESA
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FBB
2 - 0
ALE
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
3 - 0
ALE
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 3
SAI
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 3
ALE
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |