Grand-Quevilly vs AG Caennaise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
13º
13º
4
1º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grand-Quevilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CAE
1 - 4
GRQ
80%
12%
7%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
GRQ
0 - 2
DIV
19%
19%
62%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
GRQ
1 - 3
ALE
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 0
GRQ
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GRQ
2 - 4
CAE
32%
22%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
AGC
1 - 3
BAS
22%
20%
57%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 1
AGC
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AGC
1 - 2
CAE
31%
22%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
5 - 1
AGC
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AGC
3 - 4
OIS
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |